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The following is the The output value of semiconductor chips in China will reach 223 billion dollars in 2025. From IC Insights recommended by recordtrend.com. And this article belongs to the classification: IC Insights, Hardware equipment industry.
According to the latest research report released by IC insights, a semiconductor industry research institution, China originally expected to achieve 70% self-sufficiency rate of semiconductor chips by 2025, but according to the current development situation, it may only achieve 20% at most by 2025, far behind the target. According to IC Insights data, the total semiconductor chip market in Chinese mainland in 2020 was 143 billion 400 million US dollars, and the output value of semiconductor chips made in Chinese mainland was about 22 billion 700 million US dollars, accounting for about 15.9%, which was 5.6 percentage points higher than that in 2010 (10.2%). IC Insight
According to IC Insights’s prediction, the market of semiconductor chips in mainland China will reach 223 billion US dollars by 2025, and the annual compound growth rate will reach 9.2% in 2020-2025 years. The output value of semiconductor chips in mainland China will reach 43 billion 200 million US dollars in 2025, and the annual compound growth rate will reach 13.7% in 2020-2025 years.
According to this forecast data, the output value of semiconductor chips produced by Chinese mainland will reach 19.4% in Chinese mainland semiconductor chip market by 2025, though it has increased 3.5 percentage points compared with 2020.
In August 2020, the State Council issued several policies to promote the high-quality development of integrated circuit industry and software industry in the new era, which clearly pointed out that China’s chip self-sufficiency rate should reach 70% by 2025. Obviously, this is far from the IC Insights’s prediction of the chip self-sufficiency rate of less than 20% of China’s mainland in 2025.
China’s Chinese mainland’s semiconductor chip products in 2020 are also worth a lot of other 43 billion 200 million dollars, and most of them are produced by enterprises and foreign enterprises in Taiwan, China’s headquarters outside Chinese mainland. For example, TSMC, SK Hynix, Samsung, Intel, and associated power companies have factories in China.
According to IC Insights’s prediction, in 2020, China’s Chinese mainland produced 8 billion 300 million semiconductor chips worth 8 billion 300 million US dollars, accounting for 36.5%. If we put it into China’s semiconductor market in 2020, it will only account for 5.8%.
If we look more closely, IC Insights predicts that about $2 billion 300 million of the $8 billion 300 million semiconductor chip produced by mainland China will come from vertically integrated manufacturers (IDM), while the remaining $6 billion will be contributed by SMIC and other pure wafer manufacturers.
For the 2025 estimate, IC Insights said that even if China’s capacity of domestic chip manufacturers such as Changjiang storage and Changxin storage increased significantly, it still believed that the output value of semiconductor chips produced by overseas semiconductor companies in China would still be as high as 50% of the total value of China’s continental semiconductor chip (43 billion 200 million US dollars) in 2025.
This means that by 2025, the output value of semiconductor chips that are truly made by China’s mainland enterprises may still be less than 21 billion 600 million dollars, and less than 10% of China’s semiconductor chip market (223 billion US dollars).
That is to say, in a strict sense, the self-supporting rate of semiconductor chips supported by mainland enterprises in China will probably be less than 10% by 2025. Even if all the chips made in Chinese mainland are made by self – made, the self-sufficiency rate is still less than 20%.
However, it should be pointed out that the statistics of IC insights focus more on China’s self-sufficiency rate in the field of chip manufacturing, and do not seem to include the chips that domestic chip design enterprises hand over to Fabs outside the mainland to produce.
Although these chips are not produced by China’s wafer fabs, they are imported into the Chinese mainland, but they are designed by China’s chip design companies. The independence of the chips is also a key to the chip self-sufficiency rate.
For example, many chips that do not rely on the lack of advanced processes or special processes in China can be produced in China when overseas manufacturing is limited, so as to achieve self-sufficiency. Moreover, in the next five years, with the support of the state and the efforts of domestic fabs, it is expected to achieve gradual breakthroughs in the advanced processes and special processes required by many chips.
Therefore, the self sufficiency rate of Chinese mainland chip produced by IC Insights in 2025 is less than 20%, which is obviously underestimated.
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