The following is the The study found that achieving high coverage rate of new crown vaccine in summer can significantly reduce the number of cases and cost recommended by recordtrend.com. And this article belongs to the classification: novel coronavirus.
According to foreign media reports, although about 30% of the U.S. population has been fully vaccinated, the daily vaccination rate has begun to slow down, and people worry that it may take more efforts and investment to achieve higher coverage. A study published in the Journal of infectious diseases on May 6, 2021 shows that even a relatively small increase in vaccination coverage and a higher level of vaccination coverage earlier can save lives, reduce hospitalization and costs.
It is reported that the research team has developed a computer simulation model covering the whole United States and the spread of the new coronavirus in the country. By using this model, the team can simulate different proportions of people vaccinated with different types of covid-19 vaccine in different proportions. Like real people, these virtual people may also be infected with the virus and have different symptoms over time, and then go to the clinic, emergency room or hospital according to the severity of the symptoms. In turn, the model can generate related costs, which can track various medical costs and productivity losses.
The study shows that increasing vaccination coverage from 30% to 40% could reduce 24.3 million cases and $33.1 billion in direct medical costs and productivity losses. Coverage from 50% to 70% could reduce 9.5 million cases and $10.8 billion in direct medical costs and productivity losses.
In fact, even a relatively small increase in vaccine coverage can prevent thousands of cases and save lives and reduce costs by hundreds of millions of dollars.
In addition, the study also stressed the importance of reaching a higher level of coverage as soon as possible. If we can speed up vaccination, such as achieving 50% coverage by July 2021 instead of October 2021, we can reduce an additional 5.8 million cases, 2157.9 million hospitalizations, 26370 deaths, $3.5 billion in direct medical costs and $4.3 billion in lost productivity.
The results show that it is particularly important to have as many people as possible fully vaccinated before early winter. The model incorporates seasonal changes in the spread of the virus in 2020 – when the virus surges in winter months – and predicts what may happen in 2021.
“The results of this study can help policymakers, community leaders and other decision makers understand how much money can be invested in vaccinating those who are more difficult to vaccinate,” said lead author Sarah Bartsch, PhD, director of the phicor program. Such an investment may eventually pay back. For example, the potential cost savings exceed Biden’s $1.5 billion community and media campaign. Our results show that a 1% increase in total vaccination coverage can cover the cost of this effort. “
“The longer it takes to reach a higher level of vaccine coverage and population immunity threshold, the more the virus can spread,” said Bruce y Lee, senior author of the study and executive director of phicor and SPH professor at City University of New York. It is particularly important to achieve a higher level of coverage before late autumn to prevent another winter surge. “
In addition, the study also shows that increasing vaccination coverage is more valuable than using more effective vaccines. For example, compared with using 90% effective vaccine to achieve 50% coverage in the same period, using 70% effective vaccine to achieve 70% coverage can reduce 2.1 million cases and $5.5 billion in medical costs and productivity losses. This shows that it is valuable to use all the new vaccines available and get more people vaccinated as soon as possible. In addition, with the spread of more infectious variants, it may also help to reduce the effectiveness of existing new vaccines, which helps to address concerns about continuing to use existing vaccines or waiting for updated versions.
University of California, Davis: nearly 38% of Americans may choose not to get the covid-19 vaccine. University of East Anglia: a survey found that more than a quarter of people in the UK do not want to get the new coronal vaccine. Who: more than three-quarters of the new coronal vaccine are in 10 countries. Axios Ipsos: about 60% of Americans say they will not get the new coronal vaccine at the first time A survey shows that fewer and fewer Americans say they are willing to get the new coronavirus vaccine. CDC: 99.992% of the people who get the new coronavirus vaccine completely are not infected with cowid-19. University of Monmouth: a survey shows that one fifth of the American people still resist the new coronavirus vaccine. IATA: 8000 large cargo planes are needed for each dose of vaccine in the world. USA Today / Suffolk: three quarters of the Americans say they will not get the new coronavirus vaccine at the first time Miao Ipsos: a survey shows that a quarter of the American people are worried about getting the new crown vaccine. The survey shows that the number of Americans willing to get the new crown vaccine will rise to 71% in December 2020. McKinsey: can the new crown vaccine “save the world”（ The US Census Bureau: the survey shows that 1/4 adults in the United States are hesitant to vaccinate ILO: COVID-19 has resulted in a 10% decrease in global labor income. Stanford University: nearly 50% of American universities experience a new spike in the rate of infection during the first 2 weeks of school in the autumn.
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