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The following is the 2020 aviation insight Trend Report From Cirium recommended by recordtrend.com. And this article belongs to the classification: research report, Aviation Data.
Compared with 2019, the global passenger traffic volume has decreased by about 67% this year to the level of 1999;
The travel restrictions imposed novel coronavirus pneumonia on airlines have resulted in a reduction of 49% of the total number of flights, from 33 million 200 thousand in 2019 to 16 million 800 thousand in 2020.
In 2020, there will be only 3.8 million international flights and 77% domestic flights;
· 30% of the global commercial fleet is still grounded.
Novel coronavirus pneumonia, a global aviation data company, released today’s “2020 aviation insight report”, which revealed the enormous impact of travel restrictions on aviation industry to suppress the new crown pneumonia epidemic. Cirium The report shows that the epidemic and its impact offset the growth of global passenger traffic in the past 21 years. Compared with 2019, this year’s passenger volume has dropped by 67%, returning to the level of 1999.
According to cirium, the busiest day of the year (January 3) saw 95000 scheduled passenger flights worldwide. At the peak of the epidemic in April, the number of scheduled passenger flights around the world decreased significantly, to 13600 on April 25, with a sharp drop of 86%.
Compared with 2019, the number of flights operated by airlines from January to December in 2020 decreased by 49%, from 33.2 million to 16.8 million (as of December 20). Domestic flights decreased by 40% compared with 21.5 million last year, while international flights decreased by 68% compared with 11.7 million last year.
Jeremy Bowen, cirium’s chief executive, said: “this serious setback shows the true extent of the challenges facing the struggling aviation industry as it recovers in the post epidemic era. At this time last year, we were honoring global airlines for their excellent punctuality, but this year it’s a different story. Most global airlines will be on time by 2020. Unfortunately, passengers, airlines and other related companies around the world have not benefited. Common factors leading to flight delays, such as airspace, runway congestion and late arrival of connecting passengers, do not exist in 2020. “
“Aviation insight report” shows: the number of flying flights dropped sharply
According to the data of global air passenger traffic volume, compared with last year, the global passenger traffic volume has decreased by more than two-thirds (67%), and the passenger traffic volume in the Asia Pacific region still accounts for more than one-third of the world. This year, most of the scheduled passenger flights are domestic flights, reaching 13 million (77%). Restricted by the closed border and limited business travel, the number of international flights is only 3.8 million (23%).
Cirium data analysis shows that Southwest Airlines has the largest number of flights in the world (and North America), with a total of 854800. Meanwhile, China Southern Airlines took the lead in Asia Pacific with 487700 sorties, Ryanair with 205000 sorties in Europe, Azul with 134000 sorties in Latin America and Qatar Airlines with 82400 sorties in the Middle East and Africa.
In terms of airports, Atlanta Airport is the busiest airport in the world, with 245000 flights arriving in 2020, while the busiest two-way route in the world is between Seoul and Jeju Island in South Korea, with 70700 flights taking off and landing.
Airlines’ future planning has been drastically reduced from six to 12 months to six to eight weeks, which has forced airlines to increase flexibility and adapt faster to the rapidly changing rules and travel restrictions around the world.
Ground crew (except A320)
The number of aircraft still in service has been greatly reduced. Narrow body machines, for example, will run 6 to 7 hours a day in the third quarter of 2020, compared with 9 to 10 hours a day in the same period last year.
Although as many as 30% of the world’s airliner fleet is still grounded, there are signs of recovery. At present, only 10% of the short haul Airbus A320 Neo aircraft are grounded, indicating that narrow body aircraft are the first in the recovery, and domestic routes and short haul travel are the first to recover.
At a time when domestic and short haul services are dominant, Airbus A320 is the most widely used aircraft type in the world, and cirium will track 5.49 million sorties in 2020.
Cirium reveals seven trends
Bowen added: “it will take time for airlines to return to the level of 2019, especially as international travel has fallen sharply, with only signs of a slow recovery, mainly in China and Southeast Asia. However, cirium believes that the airlines will go through this difficult year and adopt newer, more fuel-efficient aircraft and a fleet of suitable size to gradually recover in the next few years. “
The seven trends of next year revealed in cirium’s 2020 aviation insight report include:
1. Airline merger, especially in the Asia Pacific region, more domestic competitors will be merged or acquired.
2. A new generation of aircraft, such as a320neo and 737 max, will reduce operating costs.
3. Surplus aircraft will be decommissioned, and Boeing 747 and Airbus A380 are expected to be used to support the growing demand of intensive leisure market.
4. Compared with the same period last year, the number of bookings decreased by 78% in the fourth quarter, which will naturally change the way the industry forecasts demand. Online search and emotion will become the main indicators of computing needs.
5. Airlines need to deploy more dynamic scheduling capabilities to adapt to increased flight scheduling volatility, as booking times are reduced from 6 to 12 months to 6 to 8 weeks.
6. The implementation of artificial intelligence technology will accelerate the automation of passenger experience, and real-time active information will become more critical.
7. Aircraft leasing will exceed 50% and become the main way of aircraft financing.
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