Chinese economyresearch report

2020 commercial housing cycle Report From Tongce Research Institute

The following is the 2020 commercial housing cycle Report From Tongce Research Institute recommended by And this article belongs to the classification: Chinese economy, research report.

Tongce Research Institute released the latest “new features of the national property market and the cycle trend of commercial housing in 2020”. This annual report focuses on the new features of the national property market in 2019 and analyzes the cycle trend of commercial housing in 2020 and the window period for real estate enterprises to acquire land. Under the background of the strong US dollar, the real economic growth of emerging countries has declined. The economic growth of China and South Africa has declined steadily, which has a strong buffer capacity for the negative impact on the upward cycle of the US dollar. However, Russia and Brazil are significantly affected by the return of international capital to the United States, forcing domestic economic expansion policies. Moreover, the impact of the dollar cycle on India lags behind that of other emerging economies.

Property market regulation policy: property market regulation policy will move towards targeted easing. In the first quarter of 2020 at the fastest and the second quarter of 2020 at the slowest, the regulatory policies of core cities will focus on targeted easing adjustment. The policy changes in accordance with the low-frequency fluctuation of a small cycle of seven months, thus affecting the rhythm of the property market transactions. Real estate regulation is based on the prevention of systemic risk. Since the financing policy of real estate enterprises has been greatly tightened in mid-2019, the capital of real estate enterprises is generally tight. Real estate enterprises have lowered the project prices to recover cash flow. Many brand real estate enterprises have burst out of capital crisis. In order to prevent the outbreak of industrial system crisis from point to surface, there may be a short window period for loosening financing policy in the first quarter of 2020. Similar history can be traced back to the end of 2018 to the beginning of 2019 when the real estate financial policy appeared in the window period.

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