Tourism economy

The number of international tourists will drop by 74% in 2020 From World Tourism Organization

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Tourism suffered hitherto unknown crisis in novel coronavirus pneumonia in 2020, and there was unprecedented health, social and economic emergency during the new crown pneumonia epidemic.

Due to extensive travel restrictions and a sharp drop in demand, international tourists are down 74% in 2020 compared with the previous year.

The collapse of international tourism means an estimated loss of $1.3 trillion in export revenue, more than 11 times the loss during the global economic crisis in 2009.

In 2020, the number of international visitors to the Asia Pacific region will decrease by 84%, about 300 million fewer than the previous year. Immigration to the Middle East and Africa fell by 75%. In Europe, the number of visitors dropped by 70%, more than 500 million international tourists; in America, the number dropped by 69%.

According to the latest survey by the expert group of the United Nations World Tourism Organization, the prospects for 2021 are mixed. Almost half of the respondents (45%) believe that the outlook for 2021 is better than last year, 25% of experts expect a similar performance, and 30% expect the performance to deteriorate.

The overall outlook for a rebound in 2021 seems to have deteriorated. At present, 50% of experts expect a rebound only in 2022, compared with 21% in October 2020. The remaining half of respondents still believe that there may be a rebound in 2021, which is lower than the expectation of the October 2020 Survey (79% of respondents expect a recovery in 2021).

Experts predict that with more and more attention paid to domestic tourism and “slow travel” experience, the demand for open-air and natural tourism activities will continue to grow.

Looking ahead, most experts believe that it will not return to pre pandemic levels before 2023. In fact, 43% of respondents expect to recover in 2023, and 41% expect to recover to the level of 2019 in 2024 or later.

More reading: Ipsos: global tourism survey 2019 World Tourism Organization: Global Tourism Report 2015 (with full version) World Tourism Organization: International Tourism insight 2016 (with download) World Tourism Organization: International Tourism Report 2019 World Tourism Organization: Global Tourism Report 2015 World Tourism Organization: Asia Pacific received 263 million international tourists in 2014 23% of the global total World Tourism Organization: the total number of global tourists will reach 1.2 billion in 2017 World Tourism Organization: global women’s participation in Tourism Report World Tourism Organization: it is estimated that the global tourists will reach 1.8 billion in 2030 World Tourism Organization: the number of international tourists will increase by 4.4% in 2015 World Tourism Organization: it is estimated that China will become the world’s largest tourism economy in 2023. World Tourism Organization: Chinese outbound tourists have double-digit growth for 12 consecutive years. World Tourism Organization: 1.18 billion international tourists in 2015. China will become the largest tourist source again. National Tourism Administration: the number of inbound tourists to China from January to December 2015 (by entry mode) shows that China abandoned the United States in 2013 221% increase in citizenship

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