It is estimated that the global notebook computer shipment will exceed 180 million units in 2020 From TrendForce
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Novel coronavirus pneumonia has increased the demand for office and teaching in the second quarter since 2020, according to a survey by TrendForce, a research office of its computer display research office. In the second quarter, the demand for laptop computers exploded in the world, and the largest growth rate in Chromebook was estimated. 4.3 million sets, with an annual growth of 42.4%, and will continue to inject momentum into the third quarter. It is estimated that the volume of pen phones will reach 55 million units in this quarter, with a quarterly growth rate of 4%.
Trendforce Jibang consulting said that in addition to educational pen phones, the demand for consumer and E-sports notebooks also continued to rise in the third quarter, and the tight supply of upstream components was also more convergent than expected. Under the situation that the housing economic effect derived from the epidemic situation will continue to burn into the second half of the year, all brand factories have a positive attitude towards the third quarter shipment performance.
The demand of education and consumer type pen is booming, and HP is still the top seller
By observing the third quarter delivery performance of various brands, HP benefited from the increase in demand for education, consumption and E-sports. It is estimated that HP will ship 14.6 million units, with a quarterly growth of 0.8%, and continues to rank first. Dell (DELL), which has always focused on medium and high-end notebooks, has increased its educational use and low-end laptop shipments to meet market demand in response to the epidemic. Although it is estimated that the third quarter’s shipment will reach 8.2 million units, due to the high base period in the second quarter, it is 14% lower than that in the next quarter.
Lenovo has actively occupied the European and North American markets with its low price strategy. Meanwhile, it has received orders from China’s educational pen phones, boosting the overall demand growth. It is estimated that the shipment volume of Lenovo will reach 11 million units in the third quarter. Although the quarterly growth rate is as high as 28.5%, it still depends on whether the capacity of the OEM factory can meet the demand of a large number of orders. ASUS and Acer have already occupied an important position in the consumer pen. Although the market demand continues to increase, it is still necessary to observe the supply of upstream panels and other components, and whether the OEM can meet their demand. It is estimated that ASUS and Acer will ship about 5 million and 4.3 million units in the third quarter, with quarterly growth of 24% and 21% respectively.
Looking forward to the fourth quarter, the attitude of brand manufacturers towards terminal demand is still optimistic. Although the demand may not be as hot as the previous two quarters, it is estimated that the demand still has a substantial growth compared with the same period in previous years, and the growth rate in the fourth quarter is expected to reach 15.8%. With the continuous injection of housing economic momentum brought by the epidemic, the demand from the second quarter to the fourth quarter was better than we had expected. It is estimated that in 2020, notebook PC shipment will rise to 187.63 million units, with an annual growth rate of 14.4%, which is the highest point after the bottom of the pen market since 2012.
More reading: trendforce: in Q1 2016, the world’s Notebook PC shipment reached 35.62 million units, down 7.3% year on year. Trendforce: DRAM spot price has long been behind the upward trend, but DRAM price is still under pressure in the second half of this year. Trendforce: server production is still weak in the fourth quarter of 2020 DRAM price increases to 13% – 18% trendforce: Global foundry output value is expected to increase by 14% in the third quarter of 2020 15.4% in the quarter: TV panel prices are rising strongly, with a 10% increase in August 55 “and 32” trendforce: the demand for graphics cards continues to grow DRAM price is easy to rise but difficult to fall in the fourth quarter. Trendforce: in 2024, the scale of intelligent manufacturing market will reach 400 billion US dollars. Trendforce: from January to may 2014, the global notebook computer shipment will be 64.5 million units. Trendforce: the number of global connected vehicles will be close to 7 in 2025, The penetration rate of 4 million sets reaches 80% strategy Analytics: 3790 sets of global notebook computer shipment in the first quarter of 2020 DIGITIMES: Global notebook computer shipment decreased by 30% month on month in April 2018 Lenovo third trendforce: coronapneumonia officially enters the pandemic, global system risk will hit the memory industry
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