It is estimated that the shipment of mobile camera modules will be about 4.92 billion in 2022 From TrendForce

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In recent years, the biggest trend of smartphone camera modules is the continuous increase in the number of rear lenses. According to trendforce Jibang consulting research, three lenses will surpass dual lenses and become the mainstream in 2020, driving the continuous growth of smartphone camera module shipments. It is estimated that smartphone camera module shipments are expected to reach 4.92 billion in 2022, an annual increase of 2%.

However, after the high growth in the past few years, the situation of the multi lens wave has begun to change since the second half of 2021. In the past, the penetration rate of the four lenses increased significantly, which was mainly triggered by the mid-range models from the second half of 2020. The brand mobile phone manufacturers conducted marketing and publicity through more lenses. However, as consumers gradually recognized that the macro and depth of field lenses usually used as the third and fourth lenses were less frequently, and the improvement of the overall photographing effect was limited, the demand for the four lenses gradually subsided, Brand mobile phone manufacturers return to the actual needs of consumers. In addition, with the rise in the price of semiconductor chips such as PMIC and driver IC, as well as the rising freight, the cost of mobile phones has also increased significantly. Under the failure to effectively transfer the cost to consumers, it has excluded the space for low-end lenses.

Lens resolution upgrade, 49 ~ 64 million pixels, accounting for the fastest growing market

Although the growth of lens shipment slows down, the lens resolution continues to improve. Taking the main lens as an example, the current mainstream design is 13 ~ 48 million, accounting for more than 50% in 2021; Followed by products with 49-64 million pixels, accounting for more than 20% last year. It is expected that the penetration rate will increase to 23% in 2022. The third highest proportion is 12 million pixel products, which are mainly iPhone and Samsung’s flagship series. However, it is expected that the iPhone 14 Pro Series (temporary name) that Apple will sell this year will also import 48 million pixels, which will further reduce the 12 million pixel products to 15% in 2022.

In addition, for brands with 108 million pixels, in addition to the original Samsung and Xiaomi, vivo and honor will be introduced successively in 2021, and 200 million pixel products are expected to be commercially available in 2022, so that the penetration rate of such ultra-high pixel products is expected to exceed 5% in 2022. However, such ultra-high pixel products mainly focus on enlarging photos without loss of image quality. Therefore, trendforce Jibang consulting believes that the marginal benefits to consumers will gradually decrease, and the penetration rate will not be as fast as that of products with 49 ~ 64 million pixels.

Overall, trendforce Jibang consulting believes that the number of lenses carried by smart phone cameras will no longer be the main focus of brands, but return to the real needs of consumers. Therefore, it is expected that the three lens will still be the mainstream design in the next 2 ~ 3 years.

More reading: trendforce: 4.844 billion mobile camera modules will be shipped in 2021, with an annual increase of 3% next year. Trendforce: the epidemic situation in India is deteriorating, In 2021, the annual growth rate of smart phones will converge to 8.5%. Trendforce: it is estimated that the shipment of mobile phone lenses will exceed 5 billion in 2021. Trendforce: in the second quarter of 2021, the global mobile phone production will only 307 million, with a quarterly decrease of 11%. Trendforce: there will be a shortage of limited wafer foundry capacity in 2021, It is estimated that new glory city will account for about 2%. Trendforce: it is estimated that the global production of smart phones will reach 1.36 billion in 2021, and Huawei will fall out of the top six in the world. Trendforce: it is estimated that the penetration rate of Gan in the fast charging market will exceed 50% in 2025. Trendforce: the market share of global Gan power manufacturers’ shipments in 2021. Trendforce: it is estimated that the memory price will fall by 3 ~ 8% in the fourth quarter of 2021. Trendforce: enterprise SSD Purchasing capacity is rising, and it is estimated that the price will increase by more than 10% in the third quarter. Trendforce: in the third quarter of 2021, the revenue of the world’s top ten IC designers reached US $33.7 billion. Trendforce: in the third quarter of 2021, the total revenue of global NAND flash reached US $18.88 billion, with a quarterly increase of 15%. Trendforce: it is estimated that the global LCD monitor shipment will be 150 million in 2021, with an annual growth rate of 8.6%. Trendforce: the price of virtual currency plummeted, Weaken the overall market momentum of graphics DRAM in the third quarter trendforce: the total market share of the world’s top three base station equipment manufacturers will be slightly reduced in 2021

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