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Insufficient risk awareness is reversing global progress and dragging mankind into a “vortex of self destruction” From United Nations report

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A new United Nations report warns that human activities and behaviors are causing more and more disasters around the world, putting the lives of millions of people and every social and economic benefit at risk.

The global assessment report (gar2022) released by the United Nations Office for disaster risk reduction (undrr) before the global platform for disaster risk reduction in May shows that 350 to 500 medium and large-scale disasters have occurred every year in the past 20 years. It is expected that by 2030, the number of disaster events will reach 560 per year – or 1.5 disasters per day.

Gar2022 attributed these disasters to the lack of risk awareness based on “blind optimism, underestimation and arrogance”. The policy, financial and development decisions made on this basis have exacerbated the existing vulnerability and put mankind in a precarious situation.

When introducing the report at the United Nations headquarters in New York, under secretary general Amina J. Mohammed of the United Nations said: “the world needs to do more to integrate disaster risk into our way of life, construction and investment, which has plunged mankind into a vortex of self destruction.”

“We must turn our collective complacency into action. While we strive to achieve sustainable development goals for everyone around the world, we can work together to reduce the incidence of preventable disasters.”

The report entitled “our world is at risk: creating a resilient future” found that the implementation of the disaster risk reduction strategy in accordance with the requirements of the Sendai framework for disaster risk reduction 2015-2030 has reduced the number of people and deaths affected by disasters in the past decade.

However, the scale and intensity of disasters are increasing. In the past five years, more people have died or been affected by disasters than in the previous five years.

The impact of disasters on developing countries is disproportionate. On average, these countries lose 1% of their GDP every year due to disasters, while the loss rate of developed countries is 0.1%-0.3%. The region with the highest cost is the Asia Pacific region, which loses an average of 1.6% of GDP every year due to disasters, and the poorest people in developing countries also suffer the greatest losses.

The long-term effects of disasters also include a lack of insurance to help with recovery efforts to rebuild better. The report states that since 1980, only 40 per cent of disaster related losses have been insured, while insurance coverage in developing countries is often less than 10 per cent, sometimes close to zero.

“Disasters can be prevented, but only when countries invest time and resources to understand and reduce their risks,” said Mami mizutori, special representative of the Secretary General for disaster risk reduction and head of the United Nations Disaster Risk Assessment.

“By deliberately ignoring risks and failing to incorporate them into decision-making, the world is in fact financing its own destruction. From governments to key sectors of development and financial services, it is urgent to rethink how they view and deal with disaster risks.”

A growing risk area revolves around more extreme weather events caused by climate change. Based on the call for accelerating adaptation efforts made at the 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference (cop26), gar2022 shows how policymakers can protect development and investment from the impact of climate. This includes reforming national budget planning to take into account risks and uncertainties, while also reconfiguring the legal and financial systems to encourage risk reduction. The report also provides examples that countries can learn from, such as the innovative fuel carbon tax introduced by Costa Rica in 1997, which helps to reverse deforestation, which is a major driver of disaster risk and benefits the economy. In 2018, 98% of Costa Rica’s electricity came from renewable energy.

The jar2022 was drafted by a group of experts from all over the world, reflecting the expertise in various fields required to understand and reduce complex risks. The conclusions of the report will be incorporated into the midterm review of the implementation of the Sendai framework, which will include national consultations and a review of national performance in terms of the goals, targets and priority actions of the Sendai framework.

Mizutori said: “with the mid-term review of the Sendai framework, this report should be a wake-up call. Countries need to accelerate action on the four priorities of the framework to stop the spiral of disasters.”

“The good news is that since human decision-making is the biggest factor affecting disaster risk, we have the ability to significantly reduce the threat to humanity, especially to the most vulnerable among us.”

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