Macroeconomic challenges and responses in the second half of 2022 From China finance 40 Forum

The following is the Macroeconomic challenges and responses in the second half of 2022 From China finance 40 Forum recommended by recordtrend.com. And this article belongs to the classification: Chinese economy, research report.

In the second half of this year, China’s economy will still face five pressures and challenges: first, the uncertainty of the epidemic; Second, demand superimposes downward; Third, local fiscal revenue and expenditure gap; Fourth, the occurrence of new risk events; Fifth, new geopolitical conflicts.

Under the above multiple pressures and challenges, in order to achieve a better level of economic development throughout the year, it is still very important to implement the aggregate target and aggregate policy tools aimed at expanding the total demand level. In addition, specific policy tools are also needed for structural issues.

First, expand government debt financing to fill the gap in government revenue and expenditure. Government expenditure, especially government led infrastructure investment, is the core guarantee of economic growth in the second half of the year. To fill the funding gap of government expenditure in a broad sense, special treasury bonds, fiscal discount bonds and policy financial loans can be considered to support infrastructure investment.

The second is to cut interest rates, clearly announcing to the market that the policy interest rate will be reduced by 25 basis points each time, and will continue to be reduced until the economic operation has maintained high vitality for more than two consecutive quarters.

Third, stabilize regulatory policy expectations. The regulatory level should leave sufficient room for the market to explore and try and error, encourage addition, and carefully use subtraction to ensure that problems are solved in the growth of the industry.

Fourth, help the real estate market out of difficulties. At present, it is difficult for real estate enterprises to get out of the dilemma by themselves, and the government needs to take action as soon as possible.

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