World economic survey January 2022 From International Monetary Fund

The following is the World economic survey January 2022 From International Monetary Fund recommended by recordtrend.com. And this article belongs to the classification: global economy , research report.

Entering 2022, the situation of the global economy is weaker than previously expected. The new Omicron variant has led countries to reintroduce social restrictions. Inflation caused by rising energy prices and supply disruptions is higher and broader than expected, especially in the United States and many emerging markets and developing economies. The continued tightening of China’s real estate industry and the slower than expected recovery of private consumption also limit the growth prospects.

Global growth is expected to slow from 5.9% in 2021 to 4.4% in 2022. This is mainly due to the decline in expectations for the two largest economies. The early withdrawal of monetary easing policy and the continuous supply shortage led to the reduction of US economic growth expectation by 1.2 percentage points. In China, pandemic restrictions related to the covid-19 zero tolerance policy and long-term financial pressure on real estate developers led to a 0.8 percentage point downgrade of the economic rating.

Global economic growth is expected to slow to 3.8% in 2023. The prediction is based on the assumption that global vaccination rates will increase and treatment will become more effective, and the number of infections in most countries will fall to a low level by the end of 2022.

The global baseline risk tends to be downward. The emergence of a new covid-19 variant may prolong the pandemic and trigger new economic chaos. In addition, supply chain disruptions, energy price fluctuations and local wage pressures mean high uncertainty about inflation and policy paths. As developed economies raise policy interest rates, financial stability and capital flows, currencies and finances in emerging markets and developing economies may be at risk. Geopolitical tensions remain high, and the continued climate emergency means that the possibility of major natural disasters remains high, and other global risks may gradually emerge.

The pandemic is still under control, and an effective global health strategy is more prominent than ever before. Global access to vaccines, testing and treatment is essential to reduce further risks. This requires improved production of supplies, as well as better domestic delivery systems and fairer international distribution. At the same time, investment climate policy is still a necessary condition to reduce the risk of catastrophic climate change.

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