It is estimated that the global notebook computer shipment will reach 240 million units in 2021 From TrendForce

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According to the trendforce Jibang Consulting survey, since July of the second half of this year, with the increase of vaccine application rate in various countries, it has been gradually unsealed, which has slowed down the overall demand for laptop, of which chromebook has declined by about 50%. However, the gradual return of large consumer countries such as Europe and the United States to the office has led to a wave of commercial machine replacement. In addition, the brand rushed to ship in the fourth quarter in response to the problem of port congestion, which has become the supporting force for the laptop demand in the third quarter. It is estimated that the overall laptop shipment will reach 240 million units in 2021, with an annual increase of 16.4%.
Trendforce Jibang consulting further said that from the fourth quarter, windows 11 will be replaced at the same time, and new machines equipped with Intel’s new generation processors will be listed one after another. However, whether the demand of the commercial laptop market can continue and the changes of the global epidemic will be the key to determine whether the overall shipment performance in the fourth quarter has entered a recession. Looking forward to 2022, with the increase of global vaccine penetration rate and the decline of relevant consumer demand derived from the epidemic, it is estimated that the annual laptop shipments will fall back by 7 ~ 8% to 220 million units, but it is still about 60 million units higher than before the epidemic.
Chromebook shipped about 36 million units in the whole year, and the demand decreased. HP and Samsung were the most affected
In the first half of this year, chromebook became the main driving force of laptop shipment. However, in the second half of this year, due to the improvement of vaccine application rate in Europe, America, Japan and other countries, the demand for chromebook driven by distance teaching became no longer urgent, and the coverage rate was also high. The monthly shipment of this product instantly declined by more than 50%. Among them, brands with high proportion of chromebook products such as HP and Samsung are also greatly affected. Brand shipments are expected to decline by about 10 ~ 20% compared with the first half of the year. However, since July, thanks to the emergency connectivity fund subsidy of about US $7.17 billion launched by the United States, it will help schools and libraries to purchase laptop, tablet and Internet devices. Therefore, there will still be a certain demand for chromebooks in recent year. It is estimated that the shipment of chromebooks will reach 36 million units in 2021.
Since the second half of the year, with the return of Europe and the United States to the office, it can further drive the tide of relevant commercial aircraft replacement. Dell, which has the highest proportion of commercial aircraft, has benefited the most, and the average monthly delivery volume is about 20% higher than that in the first half of the year. As mentioned above, in the second half of the year, in addition to observing whether the commercial demand in the fourth quarter still continues, there is also the trend of laptop replacement driven by new computers such as windows 11 and Intel’s new generation processors. It is estimated that the overall laptop shipment may be the most optimistic situation, which may be the same as that in the third quarter, and the shipment momentum will last until the end of the year.
It is worth noting that in the supply chain, due to the overall shortage of semiconductor parts, there is still a shortage of bottleneck materials such as WiFi module IC, type C PD IC and PMIC, and the supply of mainstream 14 and 15.6-inch FHD IPS panels is still tight. However, the demand for medium and low-end laptop panels such as 14 and 15.6 HD TN has been gradually met, and even the supply of 11.6-inch laptop panels has exceeded the demand and the price has fallen. With the demand for laptop entering the plateau period, but the panel supply continues to increase, it is estimated that the overall laptop panel market will enter the balance of supply and demand in the fourth quarter.
More reading: trendforce: it is estimated that the global notebook computer shipment will reach 236 million units in 2021. Trendforce: in Q1 2016, the global notebook computer shipment will reach 35.62 million units, down 7.3% year-on-year. Trendforce: from January to may 2014, the global notebook computer shipment will be 64.5 million units. Strategy Analytics: in the third quarter of 2020, the global notebook computer shipment will be 62.2 million units. Trendforce: it is estimated that the global notebook computer shipment will be 62.2 million units in 2020 Notebook computer shipment exceeded 180 million units, global notebook computer shipment and year-on-year growth rate from 2015 to 2025 (attached with original data table) Strategy Analytics: Global notebook computer shipments in the first quarter of 2020 3790 trendforce: it is estimated that Q1 notebook computer shipments in 2020 will decline by nearly 26% compared with the same period last year trendforce: notebook computer shipments in 2015 were about 164.4 million, with an annual decline rate of 6.4% trendforce: Global notebook computer shipments in 2015 were 164.4 million, with a year-on-year decline rate of 6.3% trendforce: 20 Global notebook computer shipments in Q2 reached 41.5 million units in 19 trendforce: Q2 MacBook shipments in 2019 reached 3.21 million units, up 19.8% year-on-year trendforce: Global notebook computer shipments in the first half of 2016 reached 74.18 million units, down 4% year-on-year trendforce: notebook computer shipments are expected to decline to 168 million units in 2015, down 5% year-on-year trendforce: 41.08 million units were shipped in Q2, up year-on-year 2.8% long
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